Monday’s Free MLB Pick Cashes: Astros Team Total Over 4.5 Runs

Monday’s free MLB pick was simple (can be found here) direct, and right on the money: Houston Astros Team Total Over 4.5 runs.

We released the Astros team total as the free play of the day, backed it as a $500 bet, and Houston did exactly what we needed them to do — put runs on the board and clear the number. Once the Astros reached five runs, the ticket was officially cashed.

That is the kind of result we look for when attacking team totals. We are not always trying to pick the winner of the game. Sometimes the sharper angle is isolating one offense in the right matchup, against the right pitching situation, at the right number. Monday’s play fit that mold perfectly.

The Astros had a clear path to production, and the 4.5 number gave us a realistic target. We did not need a blowout. We did not need anything wild. We just needed Houston’s lineup to do its job, create traffic, and finish enough scoring chances to get over the total.

That is exactly what happened.

A $500 bet on Houston Astros Team Total Over 4.5 runs went into the books as a winner, giving us another strong result on a free release.

And yes, I am still betting my own picks unlike other handicappers!

6-1 +$2,500 Last Week in MLB Picks

Last week here at Pappy’s PlayBook we finished 6-1 (65%) +$2,500 overall. I had no 10* or 20* bets, they were all 5* and we still showed a tremendous profit. While showing a winning percentage of 85%.

I made a YouTube video showing proof of my picks and proof that I am betting my own picks!

Free Pick Results Matter

Anyone can post picks after the fact. The goal here is to continue building trust by putting out real plays, with real numbers, before the games begin. Monday’s Astros team total was released as the free pick, and it delivered.

Not every bet is going to win. That is sports betting. But when the process is strong — matchup, number, market, lineup, pitching, and game environment — we are going to keep putting ourselves in good positions over the long run.

Monday was a good example of that process paying off.

Another Free Bet Coming Today (6/10)

After Monday’s winning free pick, I will be releasing another MLB bet for free today.

The board is being reviewed, the matchups are being checked, and I’ll be looking for the best value spot available — not just a random play to force action. The goal is always to find the bet that gives us the strongest edge at the best number.

Keep a eye out in your email inbox as it will be sent there!

Make sure you’re locked in before first pitch, because once the line moves, the value can disappear fast.